Forecasting Oil Price Movements: Exploiting the Information In the Future Market

the test for adverse selection in life insurance market: the case of mellat insurance company

انتخاب نامساعد یکی از مشکلات اساسی در صنعت بیمه است. که ابتدا در سال 1960، توسط روتشیلد واستیگلیتز مورد بحث ومطالعه قرار گرفت ازآن موقع تاکنون بسیاری از پژوهشگران مدل های مختلفی را برای تجزیه و تحلیل تقاضا برای صنعت بیمه عمر که تماما ناشی از عدم قطعیت در این صنعت میباشد انجام داده اند .وهدف از آن پیدا کردن شرایطی است که تحت آن شرایط انتخاب یا کنار گذاشتن یک بیمه گزار به نفع و یا زیان شرکت بیمه ...

CO2RBFN for short-term forecasting of the extra virgin olive oil price in the Spanish market

This paper presents the adaptation of CORBFN, an evolutionary cooperative-competitive hybrid algorithm for the design of Radial Basis Function Networks, for short-term forecasting of the price of extra virgin olive oil. In the proposed cooperative-competitive environment, each individual represents a Radial Basis Function, and the entire population is responsible for the final solution. In orde...

Forecasting Crude Oil Price Volatility

We use high-frequency intra-day realized volatility to evaluate the relative forecasting performance of several models for the volatility of crude oil daily spot returns. Our objective is to evaluate the predictive ability of time-invariant and Markov switching GARCH models over different horizons. Using Carasco, Hu and Ploberger (2014) test for regime switching in the mean and variance of the ...

Market Structure and Price Adjustment in the Iranian Tea Market

The Law of One Price and the Cointegration of Meat Price in The Global Market: The Case of Iran’s Market

In view of the importance of the meat imports and the exports of meat in Iran, this study focuses on the status of the global market of meat imports the unit price test in these markets between the years 1961 and 2011 using the market cointegration approach. The results of this study are indicative of prices co-integration in the international market of meat as well as among such major importer...